Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.029765 0.032512 0.035224 0.038099 0.041054 0.043998 0.047149
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.024680 0.029137 0.033653 0.038543 0.043669 0.048862 0.054503
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.020220 0.025744 0.031473 0.037795 0.044524 0.051429 0.059011
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.017215 0.023526 0.030212 0.037706 0.045780 0.054146 0.063405
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.014570 0.021445 0.028884 0.037347 0.046567 0.056199 0.066931
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012202 0.019473 0.027519 0.036806 0.047028 0.057788 0.069847
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.009609 0.017039 0.025490 0.035407 0.046447 0.058162 0.071370
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.008679 0.016498 0.025549 0.036276 0.048294 0.061102 0.075593
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007412 0.015443 0.024945 0.036338 0.049199 0.062976 0.078618
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.005809 0.013822 0.023594 0.035488 0.049037 0.063638 0.080288
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004926 0.013069 0.023230 0.035731 0.050061 0.065566 0.083298
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003905 0.012020 0.022454 0.035455 0.050467 0.066785 0.085507
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002831 0.010873 0.021638 0.035265 0.051136 0.068481 0.088453
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002058 0.010093 0.021282 0.035646 0.052500 0.070999 0.092366
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001071 0.008685 0.020033 0.034910 0.052549 0.072029 0.094620
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000492 0.007764 0.019358 0.034822 0.053309 0.073821 0.097683
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.006769 0.018507 0.034474 0.053731 0.075204 0.100265
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005758 0.017550 0.033948 0.053911 0.076286 0.102484
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004420 0.015983 0.032589 0.053068 0.076177 0.103350
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004233 0.016151 0.033433 0.054821 0.079000 0.107464
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003706 0.015732 0.033494 0.055622 0.080723 0.110335
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002845 0.014665 0.032668 0.055336 0.081184 0.111772
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002486 0.014416 0.032904 0.056312 0.083075 0.114799